“Policing is never only about force. It is also about information, presence, trust, coordination, and the daily administrative systems that help societies detect trouble early.”

Nigeria’s march toward state police is no longer a fringe idea in constitutional debate. It is fast becoming a mainstream policy response to a security system widely seen as overstretched, centralised, and too distant from the varied threats confronting different parts of the country. From banditry in the North-West to communal violence in the Middle Belt, kidnapping in the South-East and North-Central, and urban crime across major cities, insecurity in Nigeria is intensely local in how it begins, spreads, and is experienced.

But as the debate over state police gains momentum, one crucial question remains under-examined: are the institutions beneath the state strong enough to support localised policing? If a state police command has legal authority, for instance, it needs to know which ward is becoming vulnerable to cult recruitment, which village is sliding into land conflict, which market axis has become a criminal hotspot, or which unresolved grievance is likely to produce communal violence. This kind of knowledge does not come mainly from state capitals but from proximity – that is, from ward structures, local records, community meetings, market leadership, school authorities, health workers, transport unions, traditional institutions, and the everyday machinery of local governance.

Nigeria has 774 local government areas, at least on paper, and they are constitutionally described as the third tier closest to the people. However, in practice, many local councils have been reduced to administrative shells – unable to plan effectively, unable to keep reliable records, unable to maintain local infrastructure, and in many cases, unable even to function with meaningful autonomy.

The State-Local Government Joint Account system has allowed state governments to exercise sweeping control over local government finances, often reducing councils to dependent outposts rather than autonomous institutions of grassroots governance. The result has been a chronic weakening of local administrative capacity. In July 2024, the Supreme Court ordered allocations from the Federation Account to be paid directly to local governments, aiming to restore their financial autonomy. However, reports since then suggest that implementation has remained uneven.

The Supreme Court’s landmark ruling is directly relevant to the state police debate. If local governments are deprived of funds, they lack the capacity to engage in local policing. State police reform, therefore, cannot succeed without strengthening local governance.

The constitutional context is consequential. Section 214 of the 1999 Constitution has long entrenched a single Nigeria Police Force under federal authority, while reform proposals have sought to amend that arrangement and move policing toward a more decentralised structure. Senate approval of a bill allowing states to create their own police forces signals a shift toward institutionalized state policing in Nigeria.

But as this shift unfolds, Nigeria cannot ignore the challenge posed by its weak local administration. Decentralizing policing is necessary, but it is not enough to address the country's security crisis. Local institutions must be capable of delivering effective, responsive governance.

A governance system that can identify and mitigate threats before they escalate is crucial. Nigeria needs a state police system that complements local governance, not undermines it. State police reform, therefore, requires a comprehensive overhaul of Nigeria's local governance structure. Until this happens, localised policing will struggle to make an impact.

The state police debate is no longer just about reform; it's about governance. Nigeria needs to fix its local governance system if it wants to fix its policing structure. Anything less will leave the country with an ineffective and reactive policing system that fails to address the country's deep-seated security challenges.